Difference between revisions of "COVID-19 Forecast and Prediction"
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Revision as of 16:39, 14 May 2020
Dear Colleagues welcome to Theoretical_Geography_VVOIP_Debates website and the upcoming online colloquium titled:
The VVoIP stands for Voice and Video over Internet Protocol and allows researchers to participate at low-budget directly from your office in a scientific panel discussion on the subjects related to your interests and research.
The Theoretical_Geography_VVOIP_Debates are effective, convenient, and inexpensive video-conferencing encouraging the free and effective exchange of ideas, concepts, and research results.
Theoretical_Geography_VVOIP_Debates provides an opportunity for a critical review of the intersection between theoretical geography and GIScience. It is intended that this review be of value to the broadly interdisciplinary community of scholars who increasingly make use of geographic information and spatial reasoning in research and teaching. Presentations and discussions will feature historical and intellectual perspectives, current status, and challenges for on-going investigations in such topics as computational cartography and modeling, landscape dynamics, space-time analysis, spatial thinking, time geography, and visualization of spatial patterns and processes.
Contents
Scientific Committees
International Scientific Committee of Theoretical Geography Debates
Dr. Michael Batty Centre for Advanced Spatial Analysis (CASA) University College London[1]
Dr. Trevor Barnes Department of Geography, The University of British Columbia, Vancouver, Canada[2]
Dr. Itzhak Benenson Department of Geography and Human Environment, Tel Aviv University, Israel[3]
Dr. Luck Bergmann Department of Geography, The University of British Columbia, Vancouver, Canada[4]
Dr. Luca D'Acci Politecnico di Torino, University of Birmingham, and Erasmus Universiteit Rotterdam[5]
Dr. Michael Goodchild University of California, Santa Barbara, USA[6]
Dr. Sara I. Fabrikant University of Zurich, Departiment of Geography, Zurich, Switzerland[7]
Dr. Donald Janelle University of California, Santa Barbara, USA[8]
Dr. Alain L'Hostis LVMT, UMR-T 9403, Ecole des Ponts, IFSTTAR, UPEM, Champs-sur-Marne, France[9]
Dr. Beniamino Murgante School of Engineering, University of Basilicata,Italy[10]
Dr. Denise Pumain University Paris I Panthéon-Sorbonne, France[13]
Dr. Céline Rozenblat Institute of Geography and Sustainability, University of Lausanne, Switzerland[14]
Dr. Shih-Lung Shaw Department of Geography, University of Tennessee, USA[15]
Dr. Jacques Teller LEMA Université de Liège, Belgium[16].
Dr. Roger White Department of Geography, Memorial University of Newfoundland, Canada[17].
Debate 3.8: Organizational Committee
- Dr. Matteo (Matt) Ferensby - Organizer and moderator,
- Anna Adamchewsky - secretary, bookkeeping, © managing, and General Data Protection Regulation privacy:
Regulation (EU) 2016/679, - Mikołaj Sienicki - computer administrator, webmaster, and technical editor,
- Anja Förster - graphics, design, and general tasks of data managing.
Topics of COVID-19 Forecast and Prediction
The topic of the COVID-19 Forecast and Prediction is the interdisciplinary scientific overview of a novel strain of coronavirus and its forecast and prediction.
Program
The program will be announced as soon as possible. Thank you for your patience.
| COVID-19 Forecast and Prediction
May 15th -16th , 2020 | ||
|---|---|---|
| Lecture Number | Lecturer Name | Lecture Title |
| 1 | David S. Jones
Harvard University |
History in a Crisis—Lessons for Covid-19 |
| 2 | Christofer Brandt
Universität Greifswald |
Transparent comparison and prediction of corona numbers |
| 3 | Gaetano Perone
University of Bergamo |
An Arima Model to Forecast the Spread and the final size of COVID-2019 Epidemic in Italy |
| 4 | Keno Krewer
Max Planck Institute |
Time-resolving an ongoing outbreak with Fourier analysis |
| 5 | Gerry Killeen
University College Cork |
Pushing past the tipping points in containment trajectories of Severe Acute Respiratory Syndrome
Coronavirus 2 (SARS-CoV-2) epidemics: A simple arithmetic rationale for crushing the curve instead of merely flattening it. |
| 6 | Michael Li
University of Alberta |
Why it is difficulty to make accurate predictions of COVID-19 epidemics? |
| 7 | V.K. Jindal
Panjab University |
COVID-19 Primary and secondary infection as order parameter – a unifying global model. |
| 8 | Ashis Das
World Bank |
Rapid development of an open-access artificial intelligence decision support tool
for CoVID-19 mortality prediction |
| 9 | Fulgensia Mbabazi
Busitema University Uganda |
A Mathematical Model Approach for Prevention and Intervention Measures of
the COVID-19 Pandemic in Uganda |
Here below is the program of the last debate. As soon as we finish the editorial work it will be published on our youtube.com channel.
| COVID-19 by the Numbers, Modes, Big Data, and Reality
April 24th, 2020 | ||
|---|---|---|
| Lecture Number | Lecturer Name | Lecture Title |
| 1 | Victoria Lopez | A COVID-19 mathematical model based on Flow Networks and SIR |
| 2 | Marco Picariello | Covid-19 in italy: Lombardy vs Veneto containment strategy. |
| 3 | Axel Brandenburg | Piecewise quadratic growth during the 2019 novel coronavirus epidemic |
| 4 | Alessio Muscillo | Disease spreading in social networks and unintended consequences … |
| 5 | Marco Paggi | Simulation of Covid-19 epidemic evolution: are compartmental models really predictive? |
| 6 | Venkatesha Prasad | A simple Stochastic SIR model for COVID-19 |
| 7 | Ali Nasseri | Planning as Inference in Epidemiological Models |
| 8 | Sahasranaman | Data and models of COVID-19 in India |
| 9 | Jindal | COVID-19 – a realistic model for saturation, growth and decay of the India specific disease |
| 10 | Sebastian Gonçalves | Trends and Urban scaling in the COVID-19 pandemic |
| 11 | Josimar Saire | Social Sensors to Monitor covid19 South American Countries |
| 12 | Ashutosh Simha | A simple Stochastic SIR model for COVID-19 |
| 13 | Tommaso Alberti | ? |
Dates to Observe
The colloquium will take place on May 15th through 16th, 2020.
In order to accommodate fellow researchers from different time-zones, the colloquium will start at 5 pm of European Time (GMT+1). Depending upon the final geographical distribution of participants, the opening time may change accordingly. Here is Time_Zone_Calculator for your convenience [18]
Registration
Registration is required for all conference participants preferably until May 15th, 2020
It is recommended to make the registration online by forwarding to the e-mail address
theoretical-geography-debates@vvoip-theoretical-geography-debates.org
the following customary information:
- Your full name,
- Institution address,
- Phone number, Skype name,
- Tentative title of your PowerPoint presentation,
- Abstract.
We comply with the Europen Union law GDPR (The General Data Protection Regulation - 25 May 2018).
[19]
Confirmation will be sent to all participants by the organizers upon receipt of registration and payment.
Registration Fee (VAT excluded)
| COVID-19 Forecast and Prediction | ||
|---|---|---|
| Debate 3.9: May 15th - 16th, 2020 | ||
| COVID-19 Debate
Colloquium Fees |
Early Registration
(before May 10th, 2020) |
Regular Registration
(after May 10th, 2020) |
| Junior researchers, postdocs & Ph.D. students | €190 | €230 |
| Senior Researchers | €250 | €290 |
Note that the fee is given in € (Euro). We cannot accept cash payments. Every transaction must go through the bank account. Registration date = participant wire date.
Cancellation policy of registration
All the cancellations and changes must be sent to the organizer in written form (paper). All refunds will be processed after the conference. Please send your exact bank account details in the written cancellation.
Refund of the registration fee will be made as follows:
100% refund (minus an administrative fee of €67.23 (net)) – in case of cancellation received before April 10th, 2020.
No refund – in case of cancellation, received after May 10th, 2020.
Payment
All payments should be made in €. All charges due to bank transfers have to be paid by the sender. Let us know (theoretical-geography-debates@vvoip-theoretical-geography-debates.org) if you require a proforma invoice before payment. In all remaining cases, we will forward an invoice right after the payment will be received.
Bank (wire) transfer (in €) has to be made to:
- Bank Name: Santander Bank
- Street: Aleja Jana Pawła II 17
- City: 00-854 Warszawa
- Country: Poland, European Union
- SWIFT CODE: WBKPPLPP
- Account #: IBAN PL23799999950652418805040001
- Account Holder Name: KS/Villa Europa
Your Lecture
Your lecture will be presented in an ordinary (usual) way using MS PowerPoint presentation.
In order to allow the participants and the public to view your PowerPoint presentation please use the Skype feature titled Screen Sharing (just click on Skype icon 
)
We advise having plenty of light in your room. Make sure that your microphone is all the time off, except the time when you're delivering a lecture and ask a question. Otherwise, all background noises will be recorded.
Debate Proceedings
All debate proceedings will be video-voice recorded and after required editing will be published on the internet at the debate website and various repositories.
